Saturday, July 21, 2012

UFC 149 CONTESTS: Prediction and Betting Contests Are Live!

By: Dan Moore, MMATorch UK Contributor

UFC_149_poster_180_1.jpg
Having dusted off the cobwebs courtesy of UFC on FUEL 4 last week, we now have our first confidence picks championship match up in a while. Dionicio Ortiz and Jimbo Slice will deservedly face off for the championship, and the chance to defend it at UFC 150 next month.

Should either contender fail to submit picks for UFC 149, Adam Martin will step up and so on, until we have a match up (Think Strikeforce titles and you get the message!). For the rest of us who really need to do (so much) better, the top contestant this weekend, will automatically be thrust into championship contention against Dionicio or Jimbo.

Additionally the top two contestants from the betting contest will go head to head for that championship at UFC 150. All picks need to be submitted by 5PM ET/11PM BST on Saturday, at the very latest. Email picks to dannymoore100@hotmail.com.


UFC 149 FIGHT CARD


Renan Barao vs. Urijah Faber

Hector Lombard vs. Tim Boetsch

Cheick Kongo vs. Shawn Jordan

Brian Ebersole vs. James Head

Chris Clements vs. Matt Riddle

Court McGee vs. Nick Ring

Roland Delorme vs. Francisco Rivera

Ryan Jimmo vs. Anthony Perosh

Bryan Caraway vs. Mitch Gagnon

Antonio Carvalho vs. Daniel Pineda

Mitch Clarke vs. Anton Kuivanen


CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES


1. UFC 149 is an 11 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 11 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).

2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose decision if you?re predicting a unanimous decision (UD), or split decision (SD).

3. Using UFC 148 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:

11 - Anderson Silva - TKO2
10 - Forrest Griffin - UD
09 - Gleison Tibau - UD
08 - Demian Maia - SUB3
07 - Chad Mendes - UD
06 - Ivan Menjivar - UD
05 - Melvin Guillard - KO1
04 - Cung Le - TKO1
03 - Constantinos Philippou - TKO3
02 - Shane Roller - SUB1
01 - Rafaello Oliveira ? UD

4. When you email your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.

5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the example above, an Anderson Silva victory would earn 11 points. Forrest Griffin winning would earn 10 points, etc.

6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and if Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.

7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared winner, and they will face off again, along with the winner of the pool (to be described later), at the next event in a three way dance.


BETTING GAME AND RULES

Here are the UFC 149 lines we're using, courtesy of Sportsbook:

Renan Barao: -180
Urijah Faber: +150

Tim Boetsch: +240
Hector Lombard: -300

Cheick Kongo: +110
Shawn Jordan: -115

Brian Ebersole: -500
James Head: +350

Chris Clements: +135
Matt Riddle: -165

Court McGee: -130
Nick Ring: +100

Roland Delorme: +140
Francisco Rivera: -170

Ryan Jimmo: -145
Anthony Perosh: +115

Bryan Caraway: -200
Mitch Gagnon: +160

Antonio Carvalho: +200
Daniel Pineda: -260

Mitch Clarke: +100
Anton Kuivanen: -130


1. Using UFC 148 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:

$450 on Silva

$300 on Guillard

$50 on Tibau

$200 Parlay on Griffin, Menjivar and Roller


2. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.

3. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but not more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.

4. Players may also place a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either 2 or on 3 fighters.

5. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allotted to each player. The parlay bet is not separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.

6. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets i.e: It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.

7. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.


Instructions on how to read and utilize the betting lines

8. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.

9. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.


Structure for each game

10. For each UFC numbered event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.

11. All other players for each UFC numbered event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.

12. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.

13. Entries may be submitted via email (dannymoore100@hotmail.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please, preferably via email.

14. If you have any questions, please email me and ask.


Final Note

A player does not need to play both games during each event. Players may choose to submit an entry for one game or the other, or for both, at their own choosing.

Follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchDan

Vagam Bodjukyan Kotetsu Boku  Tony Bonello Stephan Bonnar Lorenzo Borgomeo 

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